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AHRP Home Page > April 2008

April 2008

Market Volatility Underscores Importance of Long-Term Investing

Do the rollercoaster ups and downs of the stock market make you nervous? Well, you are not alone.

So, what can or should you do about this? Perhaps nothing. Many financial advisors say you should think twice before making changes to your investment strategy in response to the ups and downs in the market. You need to be careful about making decisions that might hurt your long-term goals.

When you think about investing in the stock market – and the ups and downs that naturally come with it – consider the following:

  • Have realistic expectations. While you can’t count on the exceptionally high growth of the late 1990s, you also don’t want to avoid stocks all together because of the downturns of the market in 2000 or the 1970s. The historical average return for stocks is 10.4% (S&P 500 average return from 1926-2007). Stock values typically vary in response to investors assumptions about the profit potential of the companies in which they are investing. Because economic environments are somewhat cyclical – it is only natural that stock prices vary accordingly.
  • Ride the market cycle. Even professional money managers can’t consistently pick the right time to get in and out of the market. If you try to jump in and out of the market there is a good chance you will be out of the market when prices rise. Missing an upswing may mean missing out on a considerable return. And those upswings typically happen very suddenly over short periods of time.
  • Lower stock prices can mean “bargains”. When investing on a regular basis (such as through bi-weekly payroll deductions) your account has the potential for greater earnings because of an investment technique known as “dollar-cost-averaging”. With dollar-cost-averaging, your regular contributions buy investments at different points in time. When prices are high, your contribution will purchase fewer shares; when prices are low, you’ll automatically buy more shares. As a result, you typically end up with a cost for the shares that is lower than the average price per share over the same period of time
  • Take the longer view. Investing for retirement should be based on planning and goal setting, not what you expect the market to do in the short term. Once you have a plan and have established your asset allocation, don’t surf the web daily to see how your investments are doing. For long-term investing, less frequent updates may be best at keeping your mind- and nerves-at ease.

Don’t let the rollercoaster ups and downs of the stock market make your stomach churn. It is important to remember that the stock market is cyclical, and when stock share prices fall they are likely to rise again. Stay realistic and calm and you’ll enjoy the benefits of the ride when you reach retirement!
 

 

The best time to start thinking about your retirement is before the boss does. —Unknown

 

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